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Residential Property Review – July 2017

Our monthly property market review is intended to provide background to recent developments in property markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.

 

Remortgage approvals steady

The Bank of England (BoE) reports that mortgage lending in the UK recorded an annual increase of 2.9% to May 2017.

The BoE also records 65,202 house purchases for May, up marginally from the 65,051 seen in April, but still below the sixmonth average of 66,990.

Remortgage approvals rose to 42,955, again higher than the last month’s figure of 40,437, but below the average of 44,069.

It is likely that this gentle decline can probably be put at the door of rising inflation and the subsequent squeeze on disposable incomes.

Each new house built adds £316,000 to the economy

Research from the consultancy group Arcadis, entitled ‘Building Homes – Making Places’, shows that each new house built in the UK generates £316,000 for the economy.

Their calculations state that £250,000 is created via taxes and job creation for each build, £53,000 into businesses through direct spending, with £13,000 going to local communities through the rise in investment into local services.

Regeneration spokesperson for Arcadis, Peter Hogg, said: “The benefits of building more homes are much greater than previously thought.” He went on to add that: “Following the shock election result, government must now work closely in cross-party cooperation to genuinely deliver on housing promises, along with devolved administrations up and down the country needing to take the lead around starting to build…“.

More potential ‘Downsizers’ are looking at equity release

As many as 17% of potential downsizers are now looking at switching to lifetime mortgages, a popular type of equity release, as an alternative option to raise funds. This has been prompted for many by the cost involved with moving house and the subsequent emotional upheaval caused by moving, combined with the possibility of having to relocate away from close family and friends.

Bower Retirement reports this in their latest ‘Adviser Tracker Research’, which also details that 55% of their canvassed advisers recounted clients changing their minds about downsizing because of the costs involved, choosing to investigate what equity release options are available instead.

Where now for the housing market?

PwC’s latest UK Economic Outlook expects house price inflation to be 3.7% this year, down from 7% last year. London’s housing market will slow, with 2.8% and 3.8% growth on average in 2017 and 2018 respectively. With above average growth continuing in the east and southern regions of England.

Market analysts have different perspectives following the election result. The Head of Residential Research at JLL commented: “It will be crucial that the new champions of housing market policy in government can reaffirm commitments to the current policy direction.” He continued: “…the housing crisis deserves greater ambition and bold action from the new government. This requires cross-party support to de-politicise solutions and to provide longerterm backing for new solutions.

The Sales Director of Seven Capital held the view that residential property “…will remain robust and resilient, delivering capital growth for investors.

 

House Prices Headline statistics

HOUSE PRICE INDEX (MAY 2017)*   115.8*
Average House Price                                 £220,713
Monthly Change                                         0.5%
Annual Change                                            4.7%
*(Jan 2015= 100)

·         Average house price stands at £220,713

·         UK house prices grew by 4.7% in the year to May 2017, 0.6 percentage points lower than in the year to April 2017.

·         East of England showed the highest annual growth, with prices increasing by 7.5% in the year to May 2017

 

House Prices Price change by region

Region   Monthly Change (%) Annual Change (%) Average Price (£)
England 0.5 5.0 £237,662
Northern Ireland
(Quarter 1 – 2017)
  -0.8 4.3 £124,007
Scotland   0.7 3.5 £143,106
Wales 0.6 3.8 £149,817
East Midlands   1.3 7.2 £180,903
East of England   0.7 7.5 £284,097
London   -0.3 3.0 £481,345
North East   1.8 1.6 £126,738
North West   0.7 3.8 £153,297
South East   -0.3 4.8 £315,807
South West   0.4 5.5 £243,969
West Midlands Region   0.8 5.3 £183,942
Yorkshire & The Humber   1.1 4.4 £155,268

 

Source: The Land Registry
Release date: 18/07/2017 Next date release: 15/08/2017

 

UK Unemployment Figures

·         The unemployment rate is 4.5%, down from 4.9% a year earlier

·         There were 8.83 million people aged from 16 to 64 who were economically inactive

Jobless total                  1.49m
Unemployment rate    4.5%
Source: Office for National Statistics
Release Date: 12/07/2017

 

Mortgage Activity

·         Gross mortgage lending reached £20.1 billion in May

·         CML says: “Buy-to-let had a weak start to 2017, and the sector’s contribution to overall net mortgage lending has fallen considerably over the last year.

Source: Council of Mortgage lenders
Release date:
22/06/2017

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